Bassanese Bites: Hawkish pause – September 25 2023
Global markets The ‘no-landing’ correction in global equities continued last week, with the S&P 500 down a chunky 2.9% and US 10-year bond yields rising another lazy 0.10% to 4.44%. The key catalyst, of course, was the Fed meeting. While the Fed kept rates on hold …
Bassanese Bites: Fed fun and games – September 18 2023
Global markets Global equities consolidated last week despite a slightly higher-than-expected US core CPI and a further gain in bond yields. The ongoing rise in oil prices is emerging as a new market concern, while US activity data remained firm. …
Bassanese Bites: Oil slick – September 11 2023
Global markets Global equities pulled back last week as bond yields edged higher, with markets reflecting concerns regarding overly strong US economic growth and the ongoing strength in oil prices. …
Bassanese Bites: RBA to hold – September 04 2023
Global markets Continued ‘Goldilocks’ reports out of the United States helped support equity and bond markets again last week, with the S&P 500 rebounding for the second week in a row. US 10-year bond yields edged lower over the week to 4.18%, from an end-week high …
Bassanese Bites: Jackson Hold – August 28 2023
Global markets Soft economic data and a less threatening than feared Jackson Hole speech by Fed chair Jerome Powell allowed US bond yields to steady last week and stocks to recover somewhat. …
Bassanese Bites: Higher for longer – August 21 2023
Global markets US stocks weakened for the third week in a row under pressure from rising US bond yields and concerns over the Chinese economic outlook. Strong US retail sales in July along with the market’s hawkish interpretation of the minutes of the Fed July policy …
Bassanese Bites: All priced? – August 14 2023
Global markets US stocks continued their consolidation last week, after a strong run over previous weeks as the ‘soft landing’ scenario started to become the consensus call. Indeed, last week there was a sense that the good news now appeared largely priced in, with equities and …
Bassanese Bites: Debt downgrade – August 07 2023
Global markets After a strong run in recent weeks, US stocks pulled back last week due to a sharp rise in bond yields which, in turn, reflected the Fitch credit downgrade and official plans for higher US long-term public debt issuance. The US July payrolls report, …
Bassanese Bites: Extended Pause – July 31 2023
The ‘melt-up’ in US stocks continued last week, with the S&P 500 adding another 1.0%. There were various reasons for investors to remain upbeat: the Fed hiked rates but displayed a more neutral outlook, the Q2 US earnings reporting season remained encouraging (thanks to …
Bassanese Bites: CPI week – July 24 2023
Global markets The effective ‘melt-up’ in US stocks continued last week, with the S&P 500 adding another 0.7%. Although earnings misses by Netflix and Tesla briefly weighed on markets, the overriding narrative remains that of growing hopes of a soft landing given resilient economic growth, easing inflation, and …