FNArena’s Weekly Insights – July 08 2024
In this week’s Weekly Insights:
All-Weather Portfolio in FY24; Growth Not Value
By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, Editor
We all experience the share market through our own portfolio, which might explain why so many voices remain downbeat, if not straightforward negative about the local market and its prospects.
In contrast to general sentiment, the ASX200 just clocked off its second successive double-digit financial year return, coming in at 11.78%. One year ago, FY23 returned 14.80%.
Total return over the past ten years has averaged no more than 8.06%, and that number includes the past two years, so the absence of the sound of champagne corks popping seems a bit odd. But share prices have been more volatile than many can bear during the best of times.
Above all: the bifurcation underneath the headline performance remains extreme, with many more stocks not performing and a select group of popular names generating all the rewards. Investing in the share market is seldom a walk in the park. Whenever it is, the sunny conditions don’t last for long.
Outside of the Winners circles, Australian equities have been overwhelmingly frustrating, deflating, gut-wrenching, and, at times, de-moralising. Unless one’s portfolio owned plenty of supercharged Winners. But even then, the optics remain important and Australia looks bleak against the outsized gains yet again achieved in the US.
The Nasdaq100 index, as its website proudly shows, has returned 55% over twelve months, 177% over five years, and 419.34% over ten years (all data as of 4 July 2024).
We need not look any further as to why general sentiment is far from ebulliant among local investors. But as said, total return has been above average for the second year in a row, and the all-important banks have been among the strong outperformers.
The FNArena-Vested Equities All-Weather Model Portfolio does not invest in popular banks or resources companies, but instead attempts to identify local companies of higher quality, with robust growth prospects, underpinned by continuous re-investments and a leading market position.